Regional Policies

Some countries set their own goals towards climate change. These policy goals include phase-out of conventional power plants, restrictions on nuclear technology installation, CO2-taxes and carbon neutrality. Therefore, additional constraints are modelled in TIAM to include the policies of specific regions as well.

Nuclear Policy

All the countries have defined policies on maximum nuclear power plant installations for the future. In the case of Germany, nuclear phase-out plan is already put in action since 2023 [2] and hence, the current and future capacity of nuclear plants are zero. Accordingly, In TIAM, constraints are defined for maximum nuclear capacity for every region.

Table 2: Maximum nuclear technology capacity (GW) constraint for every region until 2100 in TIAM model.

Region

2030

2050

2080

2100

AFR

17

37

75

99

AUS

5

9

21

28

CAN

27

41

69

96

CHI

168

331

667

789

CSA

11

54

122

161

EEU

82

104

143

162

FSU

68

101

132

161

GER

0

0

0

0

IND

48

97

168

274

JPN

16

24

91

148

MEA

6

27

57

75

MEX

5

9

19

27

ODA

19

30

59

77

SKO

34

39

69

89

USA

142

155

220

274

WEU

62

32

35

42

Coal Policy

Based on the regional policies, minimum electricity consumption from coal power plants is also defined for every region. Therefore, for all regions, the region-specific policy restrictions on coal electricity consumption are entered as shown in Table 3.

Table 3: Minimum electricity production from coal power plants (PJ) until 2030 in TIAM model.

Region

2020

2030

AFR

1018

1102

AUS

539

479

CAN

0.08

0.02

CHI

14050

15517

CSA

272

269

EEU

717

339

FSU

996

957

GER

-

-

IND

3864

5364

JPN

1182

1078

MEA

382

521

MEX

78

17

ODA

2262

3521

SKO

804

733

USA

4897

4345

WEU

904

427

Climate neutrality goal

Some regions set their own goals for achieving climate neutrality. An example is explained for the TIAM region-Germany. The German Climate Action Plan for 2050 describes the CO2 reduction targets for 2030, 2040 and 2045 for all demand sectors along with a goal of achieving carbon neutrality in industry, transport and building sectors by 2045 [1]. These emission reduction targets are modelled in TIAM with the appropriate TIMES attributes and linearly interpolated between the years. Table 1 below shows the constraint placed on the emissions from different sectors for Germany.

Table 1: CO2 emissions per sector in Germany modelled in TIAM.

Sector

Emissions (kt)

2030

2040

2045

2100

Industry

143231

102348

0

0

Transport

98158

60780

0

0

Building

72116

44655

0

0

Upstream

183308

113504

4543.4

0

Agriculture

61099

50655

40089

0

References

[1] „Climate Action Plan 2050: Principles and goals of the German government’s climate policy,“ Federal ministry for the environment, nature conservation, building and nuclear safety, 2016.

[2] „Germany brings era of nuclear power to an end,“ 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.bmuv.de/en/pressrelease/germany-brings-era-of-nuclear-power-to-an-end.

[3] „Coal phase-out under KVBG Act,“ Oktober 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.smard.de/page/en/topic-article/5892/206022.