Regional Policies¶
Some countries set their own goals towards climate change. These policy goals include phase-out of conventional power plants, restrictions on nuclear technology installation, CO2-taxes and carbon neutrality. Therefore, additional constraints are modelled in TIAM to include the policies of specific regions as well.
Nuclear Policy¶
All the countries have defined policies on maximum nuclear power plant installations for the future. In the case of Germany, nuclear phase-out plan is already put in action since 2023 [2] and hence, the current and future capacity of nuclear plants are zero. Accordingly, In TIAM, constraints are defined for maximum nuclear capacity for every region.
Table 2: Maximum nuclear technology capacity (GW) constraint for every region until 2100 in TIAM model.
Region |
2030 |
2050 |
2080 |
2100 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
AFR |
17 |
37 |
75 |
99 |
AUS |
5 |
9 |
21 |
28 |
CAN |
27 |
41 |
69 |
96 |
CHI |
168 |
331 |
667 |
789 |
CSA |
11 |
54 |
122 |
161 |
EEU |
82 |
104 |
143 |
162 |
FSU |
68 |
101 |
132 |
161 |
GER |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
IND |
48 |
97 |
168 |
274 |
JPN |
16 |
24 |
91 |
148 |
MEA |
6 |
27 |
57 |
75 |
MEX |
5 |
9 |
19 |
27 |
ODA |
19 |
30 |
59 |
77 |
SKO |
34 |
39 |
69 |
89 |
USA |
142 |
155 |
220 |
274 |
WEU |
62 |
32 |
35 |
42 |
Coal Policy¶
Based on the regional policies, minimum electricity consumption from coal power plants is also defined for every region. Therefore, for all regions, the region-specific policy restrictions on coal electricity consumption are entered as shown in Table 3.
Table 3: Minimum electricity production from coal power plants (PJ) until 2030 in TIAM model.
Region |
2020 |
2030 |
|---|---|---|
AFR |
1018 |
1102 |
AUS |
539 |
479 |
CAN |
0.08 |
0.02 |
CHI |
14050 |
15517 |
CSA |
272 |
269 |
EEU |
717 |
339 |
FSU |
996 |
957 |
GER |
- |
- |
IND |
3864 |
5364 |
JPN |
1182 |
1078 |
MEA |
382 |
521 |
MEX |
78 |
17 |
ODA |
2262 |
3521 |
SKO |
804 |
733 |
USA |
4897 |
4345 |
WEU |
904 |
427 |
Climate neutrality goal¶
Some regions set their own goals for achieving climate neutrality. An example is explained for the TIAM region-Germany. The German Climate Action Plan for 2050 describes the CO2 reduction targets for 2030, 2040 and 2045 for all demand sectors along with a goal of achieving carbon neutrality in industry, transport and building sectors by 2045 [1]. These emission reduction targets are modelled in TIAM with the appropriate TIMES attributes and linearly interpolated between the years. Table 1 below shows the constraint placed on the emissions from different sectors for Germany.
Table 1: CO2 emissions per sector in Germany modelled in TIAM.
Sector |
Emissions (kt) |
|||
|---|---|---|---|---|
2030 |
2040 |
2045 |
2100 |
|
Industry |
143231 |
102348 |
0 |
0 |
Transport |
98158 |
60780 |
0 |
0 |
Building |
72116 |
44655 |
0 |
0 |
Upstream |
183308 |
113504 |
4543.4 |
0 |
Agriculture |
61099 |
50655 |
40089 |
0 |
References¶
[1] „Climate Action Plan 2050: Principles and goals of the German government’s climate policy,“ Federal ministry for the environment, nature conservation, building and nuclear safety, 2016.
[2] „Germany brings era of nuclear power to an end,“ 2023. [Online]. Available: https://www.bmuv.de/en/pressrelease/germany-brings-era-of-nuclear-power-to-an-end.
[3] „Coal phase-out under KVBG Act,“ Oktober 2021. [Online]. Available: https://www.smard.de/page/en/topic-article/5892/206022.